@workingpaper {634384, title = {Building a Good Jobs Economy}, year = {Working Paper}, note = {November 2019}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Charles Sabel} } @proceedings {645853, title = {Economics After Neoliberalism: Introducing the EfIP Project}, journal = {AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2020}, year = {Forthcoming}, author = {Suresh Naidu and Dani Rodrik and Zucman, Gabriel} } @workingpaper {721316, title = {Rethinking Global Governance: Cooperation in a World of Power}, year = {2024}, note = {March 2024}, author = {Joseph E. Stiglitz and Dani Rodrik} } @workingpaper {719316, title = {The Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals}, year = {2024}, note = {February 2024}, abstract = {We assemble a dataset of the universe of economics and business journal articles published since 1980 to assess differences in the levels and trends of the global distribution of authorship in economics journals and citations by country/region, quality of journal, and fields of specialization. We document striking imbalances. While Western and Northern European authors have made substantial gains, the representation of authors based in low-income countries remains extremely low -- an order of magnitude lower than the weight of their countries or regions in the global economy. Fields such as international or development where global diversification may have been expected have not experienced much increase in developing country authorship. Developing country representation has risen fastest at journals rated 100th or lower, while it has barely increased in journals rated 25th or higher. Regression analyses suggest that articles by developing country authors are far less likely to be published in top journals even when holding constant article quality (as proxied by citation counts). Similar trends are observed in citation patterns, with articles by authors in the U.S. receiving far more citations, and those by authors in developing countries receiving fewer. These results are consistent with a general increase in the relative supply of research in the rest of the world. But they also indicate authors from developing countries remain excluded from the profession{\textquoteright}s top-rated journals and that their research receives less attention from other economists.}, author = {Aigner, Ernest and Jacob Greenspon and Dani Rodrik} } @newspaperarticle {718471, title = {Dani Rodrik: Doing Industrial Policy Right}, journal = {Financial Times}, year = {2024} } @article {716541, title = {A New Growth Strategy for Developing Nations}, year = {2024}, note = {January 2024}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Joseph E. Stiglitz} } @article {704941, title = {A Comment on {\textquotedblleft}Presidential Address: Demand-Side Constraints in Development: The Role of Market Size, Trade, and (In)Equality,{\textquotedblright} by Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg and Tristan Reed}, journal = {Econometrica}, volume = {91}, number = {6}, year = {2023}, note = {November 2023}, pages = {1959-1962}, url = {https://www.econometricsociety.org/publications/econometrica/browse/issue/2023/11}, author = {Dani Rodrik} } @workingpaper {708276, title = {Industrial Policy with Conditionalities: A Taxonomy and Sample Cases}, year = {2023}, note = {September 2023}, author = {Mariana Mazzucato and Dani Rodrik} } @article {704821, title = {The New Economics of Industrial Policy}, year = {2023}, note = {August 2023}, abstract = { We discuss the considerable literature that has developed in recent years providing rigorous evidence on how industrial policies work. This literature is a significant improvement over the earlier generation of empirical work, which was largely correlational and marred by interpretational problems. On the whole, the recent crop of papers offers a more positive take on industrial policy. We review the standard rationales and critiques of industrial policy and provide a broad overview of new empirical approaches to measurement. We discuss how the recent literature, paying close attention to measurement, causal inference, and economic structure, is offering a nuanced and contextual understanding of the effects of industrial policy. We re-evaluate the East Asian experience with industrial policy in light of recent results. Finally, we conclude by reviewing how industrial policy is being reshaped by a new understanding of governance, a richer set of policy instruments beyond subsidies, and the reality of de-industrialization.\  }, author = {R{\'e}ka Juh{\'a}sz and Nathan Lane and Dani Rodrik} } @report {703986, title = {Creating a Good-Jobs Economy in the UK}, year = {2023}, note = {July 2023}, institution = {Resolution Foundation, The Economy 2030 Inquiry}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Doshi, Vidit and Spencer, Huw} } @workingpaper {698666, title = {On Productivism}, year = {2023}, note = {March 2023}, author = {Dani Rodrik} } @workingpaper {696901, title = {A Framework to Evaluate Economic Adjustment-cum-Debt Restructuring Packages}, year = {2023}, author = {Reza Baqir and Diwan, Ishac and Dani Rodrik} } @workingpaper {683454, title = {Economic Interests, Worldviews, and Identities: Theory and Evidence on Ideational Politics}, year = {2023}, note = {January 2023}, abstract = { We distinguish between ideational and interest-based appeals to voters on the supply side of politics, integrating the Keynes-Hayek perspective on the importance of ideas with the Stigler-Becker approach emphasizing vested interests. In our model, political entrepreneurs discover identity and worldview {\textquotedblleft}memes{\textquotedblright} (narratives, cues, frames) that invoke voters{\textquoteright} identity concerns or shift their views of how the world works. We identify a complementarity between worldview politics and identity politics and illustrate how they may reinforce each other. Furthermore, we show how adverse economic shocks (increasing inequality) lead to greater incidence of ideational politics. We use these results to analyze data on 60,000 televised political ads in U.S. localities over the years 2000 through 2018. Our empirical work quantifies ideational politics and provides support for key model implications, including the impact of higher inequality on the supply of both identity and worldview politics. }, author = {Elliott Ash and Sharun W. Mukand and Dani Rodrik} } @report {694441, title = {An Industrial Policy for Good Jobs}, year = {2022}, note = {September 2022}, institution = {The Hamilton Project, Brookings}, author = {Dani Rodrik} } @broadcast {691579, title = {He Predicted Globalization{\textquoteright}s Failure, Now he{\textquoteright}s Planning what{\textquoteright}s Next}, journal = {Harvard Kennedy School PolicyCast}, year = {2022} } @report {684116, title = {Prospects for Global Economic Convergence Under New Technologies}, year = {2022}, note = {Brookings Report, May 2022}, author = {Dani Rodrik} } @workingpaper {687291, title = {Reimagining the Economy Program}, year = {2021}, note = {August 2021}, author = {Gordon Hanson and Dani Rodrik} } @workingpaper {683040, title = {A Note on the Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals}, year = {2021}, abstract = { Using Fontana et al.{\textquoteright}s (2019) database, we analyze levels and trends in the global distribution of authorship in economics journals, disaggregating by country/region, quality of journal, and fields of specialization. We document striking imbalances. While Western and Northern European authors have made substantial gains, the representation of authors based in low-income countries remains extremely low -- an order of magnitude lower than the weight of their countries or regions in the global economy. Developing country representation has risen fastest at journals rated 100th or lower, while it has barely increased in journals rated 25th or higher. Fields such as international or development where global diversification may have been expected have not experienced much increase in developing country authorship. These results are consistent with a general increase in the relative supply of research in the rest of the world. But they also indicate authors from developing countries remain excluded from the profession{\textquoteright}s top-rated journals. }, author = {Jacob Greenspon and Dani Rodrik} } @workingpaper {679836, title = {A Primer on Trade and Inequality}, year = {2021}, note = {November 2021}, author = {Dani Rodrik} } @article {678852, title = {Fixing Capitalism{\textquoteright}s Good Jobs Problem}, journal = {Oxford Review of Economic Policy}, year = {2021}, abstract = { Conventional welfare state policies that center on education, training, progressive taxation, and social insurance are inadequate to address labor market polarization, which is capitalism{\textquoteright}s most pressing inclusion challenge at present. We propose a strategy aimed directly at the productive sphere of the economy and targeting an increase in the supply of {\textquoteleft}good jobs. The main elements of this strategy are: (i) active labour market policies linked to employers; (ii) industrial and regional policies directly targeting the creation of good jobs; (iii) innovation policies that incentivize labour-friendly technologies; (iv) international economic policies that facilitate the maintenance of high domestic labour/social standards. These elements are connected both by their objective{\textemdash}expanding the number of good jobs{\textemdash}and by a new approach to regulation that is collaborative and iterative rather than top-down and prescriptive. We emphasize the importance of new institutional arrangements that enable strategic long-term information exchange and cooperation between governments and firms. }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Stefanie Stantcheva} } @report {677731, title = {Economic Inequality and Insecurity: Policies for an Inclusive Economy}, year = {2021}, note = {Report Prepared for Commission Chaired by Olivier Blanchard and Jean Tirole on Major Future Economic Challenges, Republic of France}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Stefanie Stantcheva} } @workingpaper {673089, title = {How to Construct a New Global Order}, year = {2021}, note = {Revised, May 2021}, abstract = { The global political-economic order is in flux. It is unclear what will replace the U.S-centric post-1990s {\textquotedblleft}liberal{\textquotedblright} order and whether competition with China can be managed successfully. We advance a set of principles for the construction of a stable and broadly beneficial world order that does not require significant commonality in interests and values among states. In particular, we propose a {\textquotedblleft}meta-regime{\textquotedblright} that presumes only minimal initial agreement among the major powers. The meta-regime is a device for structuring a conversation around the relevant issues, and facilitating either agreement or accommodation, as the case may be. It is agnostic and open-ended about the specific rules to be applied in particular issue-areas. Even where agreement proves impossible, as will often be the case, the objective of the meta-regime is to enhance communication among the parties and clarify the reasons for the disagreement, and to incentivize states to avoid inflicting unnecessary harm on others as they act autonomously. Participating in this meta-regime would impose few constraints on states that want to maintain their freedom of action. Yet in favorable circumstances, it could facilitate significant cooperation. It could also encourage increased cooperation over time even among adversaries, as participation in the meta-regime builds trust between them. We illustrate the practical implications of the meta-regime by applying it to U.S.-China digital competition, U.S.-Iran relations, human rights, and global migration. }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Stephen Walt} } @webarticle {674066, title = {How to Create More Inclusive Economies: An Interview with Dani Rodrik}, journal = {Development and Change}, year = {2021} } @article {673986, title = {A Policy Matrix for Inclusive Prosperity}, journal = {Economics for Inclusive Prosperity}, volume = {Policy Brief No. 30}, year = {2021}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Stefanie Stantcheva} } @newspaperarticle {671409, title = {Dani Rodrik: {\textquoteright}We are in a Chronic State of Shortage of Good Jobs{\textquoteright}}, journal = {Financial Times}, year = {2021} } @book {669453, title = {Combating Inequality: Rethinking Government{\textquoteright}s Role}, year = {2021}, publisher = {MIT Press}, organization = {MIT Press}, address = {Cambridge, MA}, editor = {Dani Rodrik and Olivier Blanchard} } @article {654693, title = {Why Does Globalization Fuel Populism? Economics, Culture, and the Rise of Right-Wing Populism}, journal = {Annual Review of Economics}, volume = {13}, year = {2021}, pages = {133-70}, abstract = {There is compelling evidence that globalization shocks, often working through culture and identity, have played an important role in driving up support for populist movements, particularly of the right-wing kind. I start with an empirical analysis of the 2016 presidential election in the United States to show globalization-related attitudinal variables were important correlates of the switch to Trump. I then provide a conceptual framework that identifies four distinct channels through which globalization can stimulate populism, two each on the demand and supply sides of politics. I evaluate the empirical literature with the help of this framework, discussing trade, financial globalization, and immigration separately. I conclude the review by discussing some apparently anomalous cases where populists have been against, rather than in favor of, trade protection.} } @workingpaper {667417, title = {Africa{\textquoteright}s Manufacturing Puzzle: Evidence from Tanzanian and Ethiopian Firms}, year = {2020}, note = {February 2021}, abstract = { Recent growth accelerations in Africa are characterized by increasing productivity in agriculture, a declining share of the labor force employed in agriculture and declining productivity in modern sectors such as manufacturing. To shed light on this puzzle, we disaggregate firms in the manufacturing sector by size using two newly created panels of manufacturing firms, one for Tanzania covering 2008-2016 and one for Ethiopia covering 1996-2017. Our analysis reveals a dichotomy between larger firms that exhibit superior productivity performance but do not expand employment much, and small firms that absorb employment but do not experience any productivity growth. We suggest the poor employment performance of large firms is related to use of capital-intensive techniques associated with global trends in technology. }, author = {Xinshen Diao and Mia Ellis and Margaret McMillan and Dani Rodrik} } @article {629790, title = {Labour Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys}, journal = {Economic Journal}, volume = {130}, year = {2020}, pages = {1008-1030}, abstract = {We study preferences for government action in response to layoffs resulting from different types of labourmarket shocks. We consider: technological change, a demand shift, bad management and three kinds of international outsourcing. Support for government intervention rises sharply in response to shocks and is heavily biased towards trade protection. Trade shocks generate more demand for protectionism and, among trade shocks, outsourcing to a developing country elicits greater demand for protectionism. The {\textquoteleft}bad management{\textquoteright} shock is the only scenario that induces a desired increase in compensatory transfers. Trump supporters are more protectionist than Clinton supporters, but preferences seem easy to manipulate: Clinton supporters primed with trade shocks are as protectionist as baseline Trump voters. Highlighting labour abuses in the exporting country increases the demand for trade protection by Clinton supporters but not Trump supporters.}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Rafael Di Tella} } @article {636655, title = {Putting Global Governance in its Place}, journal = {The World Bank Research Observer}, volume = {35}, year = {2020}, pages = {1-18}, address = {Washington, D.C.} } @broadcast {655472, title = {What Economics Misses About American Racial Inequality: An Interdisciplinary Perspective}, journal = {Economics for Inclusive Prosperity Panel}, year = {2020}, note = { July 13, 2020.Moderator: Sandy Darity, DukePanelists: Daina Ramey Berry, UT Austin, History; Arjumand Siddiqi, U Toronto, Public Health; Eduardo Bonilla-Silva, Duke, Sociology; Mario Small, Harvard, Sociology }, abstract = { Economics has not been immune to the ongoing and long overdue reckoning with American racial injustice. Many students and scholars think the conceptual approaches of economics and empirical practices implicitly marginalize or discount Black and Latinx perspectives. We are organizing this panel of scholars working in econ-adjacent areas to hear their thoughts on what they think economics could learn from other disciplines. } } @webarticle {655116, title = {Princess of Asturias Award for Social Sciences}, journal = {Fundaci{\'o}n Princesa de Asturias}, year = {2020} } @article {277196, title = {The Political Economy of Liberal Democracy}, journal = {The Economic Journal}, year = {2020}, abstract = {This paper develops a taxonomy of political regimes that distinguishes between three sets of rights - property rights, political rights and civil rights. The truly distinctive nature of liberal democracy is the protection of civil rights (equal treatment by the state for all groups) in addition to the other two. The paper shows how democratic transitions that are the product of a settlement between the elite (who care mostly about property rights) and the majority (who care about political rights), generically fail to produce liberal democracy. Instead, the emergence of liberal democracy requires low levels of inequality and weak identity cleavages.}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Sharun Mukand} } @article {645870, title = {Rebirth of Industrial Policy and an Agenda for the Twenty-First Century}, journal = {Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade}, year = {2020}, author = {Aiginger, Karl and Dani Rodrik} } @inbook {485991, title = {The Recent Growth Boom in Developing Economies: A Structural-Change Perspective}, booktitle = {The Palgrave Handbook of Development Economics}, year = {2019}, note = {August 2019}, publisher = {Palgrave Macmillan}, organization = {Palgrave Macmillan}, abstract = {Growth has accelerated in a wide range of developing countries over the last couple of decades, resulting in an extraordinary period of convergence with the advanced economies. We analyze this experience from the lens of structural change {\textendash} the reallocation of labor from low- to high-productivity sectors. Patterns of structural change differ greatly in the recent growth experience. In contrast to the East Asian experience, none of the recent growth accelerations in Latin America, Africa, or South Asia was driven by rapid industrialization. Beyond that, we document that recent growth accelerations were based on either rapid within-sector labor productivity growth (Latin America) or growth-increasing structural change (Africa), but rarely both at the same time. The African experience is particularly intriguing, as growth-enhancing structural change appears to have come typically at the expense of declining labor productivity growth in the more modern sectors of the economy. We explain this anomaly by arguing that the forces that promoted structural change in Africa originated on the demand side, through either external transfers or increase in agricultural incomes. In contrast to Asia, structural change was the result of increased demand for goods and services produced in the modern sectors of the economy rather than productivity improvements in these sectors.}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Xinshen Diao and Margaret McMillan} } @magazinearticle {636996, title = {The Trilemma}, journal = {Harvard Magazine}, volume = { July-August}, year = {2019}, note = {Publisher{\textquoteright}s Version} } @audiovisual {634638, title = {Why We Must Resist Economic Conventional Wisdom}, year = {2019}, note = {Dani Rodrik talks to INET President Rob Johnson about Economics for Inclusive Prosperity (EfIP). April 17, 2019.} } @article {632738, title = {Economics After Neoliberalism}, year = {2019}, note = {Boston Review, February 15, 2019} } @article {622546, title = {New Technologies, Global Value Chains, and the Developing Economies}, year = {2018}, note = {University of Oxford, Pathways for Prosperity Commission, September 2018} } @webarticle {613913, title = {Dani Rodrik Conversation with Ezra Klein (Vox.com) on Trade}, year = {2018}, note = {July 19, 2018} } @article {602698, title = {Is Populism Necessarily Bad Economics?}, journal = {AEA Papers and Proceedings 2018}, number = {108}, year = {2018}, pages = {196-199}, abstract = {I distinguish between political and economic populism. Both are averse to agencies of restraint, or, equivalently, delegation to technocrats or external rules. In the economic domain, delegation to independent agencies (domestic or foreign) occurs in two different contexts: (a) in order to prevent the majority from harming itself in the future; and (b) in order to cement a redistribution arising from a temporary political advantage for the longer-term. Economic policy restraints that arise in the first case are desirable; those that arise in the second case are much less so.} } @article {611322, title = {Second Thoughts on Economics Rules}, journal = {Journal of Economic Methodology}, year = {2018}, month = {2018} } @article {604450, title = {What Do Trade Agreements Really Do?}, journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, volume = {23}, number = {2}, year = {2018}, pages = {73-90}, abstract = {As trade agreements have evolved and gone beyond import tariffs and quotas into regulatory rules and harmonization, they have become more difficult to fit into received economic theory. Nevertheless, most economists continue to regard trade agreements such as the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) favorably. The default view seems to be that these arrangements get us closer to free trade by reducing transaction costs associated with regulatory differences or explicit protectionism. An alternative perspective is that trade agreements are the result of rent-seeking, self-interested behavior on the part of politically well-connected firms {\textendash} international banks, pharmaceutical companies, multinational firms. They may result in freer, mutually beneficial trade, through exchange of market access. But they are as likely to produce purely redistributive outcomes under the guise of {\textquotedblleft}freer trade.{\textquotedblright}} } @webarticle {607358, title = {Globalization Has Contributed to Tearing Societies Apart}, year = {2018}, note = {ProMarket, March 29, 2018} } @workingpaper {386181, title = {The Political Economy of Ideas: On Ideas Versus Interests in Policymaking}, year = {2018}, abstract = {We develop a conceptual framework to highlight the role of ideas as a catalyst for policy and institutional change. We make an explicit distinction between ideas and vested interests and show how they feed into each other. In doing so the paper integrates the Keynes-Hayek perspective on the importance of ideas with the currently more fashionable Stigler-Becker (in-terests only) approach to political economy. We distinguish between two kinds of ideational politics {\textendash} the battle among different worldviews on the efficacy of policy (worldview politics) versus the politics of victimhood, pride and identity (identity politics). Political entrepreneurs discover identity and policy {\textquoteleft}memes{\textquoteright} (narratives, cues, framing) that shift beliefs about how the world works or a person{\textquoteright}s belief of who he is (i.e. identity). Our framework identifies a complementarity between worldview politics and identity politics and illustrates how they may reinforce each other. In particular, an increase in identity polarization may be associated with a shift in views about how the world works. Furthermore, an increase in income inequality is likely to result in a greater incidence of ideational politics. Finally, we show how ideas may not just constrain, but also {\textquoteleft}bite{\textquoteright} the interests that helped propagate them in the first instance.}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Sharun Mukand} } @journal {537756, title = {Populism and the Economics of Globalization}, year = {2018}, note = {Journal of International Business Policy, 2018}, abstract = {Populism may seem like it has come out of nowhere, but it has been on the rise for a while. I argue that economic history and economic theory both provide ample grounds for anticipating that advanced stages of economic globalization would produce a political backlash. While the backlash may have been predictable, the specific form it took was less so. I distinguish between left-wing and right-wing variants of populism, which differ with respect to the societal cleavages that populist politicians highlight. The first has been predominant in Latin America, and the second in Europe. I argue that these different reactions are related to the relative salience of different types of globalization shocks.} } @newspaperarticle {605386, title = {What Does a True Populism Look Like? It Looks Like the New Deal}, year = {2018}, note = {The New York Times, February 21, 2018} } @webarticle {583061, title = {Rescuing Economics from Neoliberalism}, journal = {Boston Review}, year = {2017} } @magazinearticle {577251, title = {Politico Magazine 50 for 2017}, year = {2017} } @workingpaper {576386, title = {Rebalancing Globalization}, year = {2017}, note = {October 2017} } @report {567131, title = {Green Industrial Policy: Accelerating Structural Change towards Wealthy Green Economies}, year = {2017}, author = {Altenburg, Tilman and Dani Rodrik} } @book {539306, title = {Straight Talk on Trade: Ideas for a Sane World Economy}, year = {2017}, publisher = {Princeton University Press}, organization = {Princeton University Press}, address = {Princeton, NJ} } @webarticle {537746, title = {What{\textquoteright}s Wrong with Our System of Global Trade and Finance}, year = {2017}, note = {John Judis interviews Dani Rodrik on globalization and how to fix it.Talking Points Memo, June 9, 2017} } @audiovisual {533476, title = {Politics Must Relocate to the National State}, year = {2017}, note = {Aftonbladet Podcast, May 30, 2017} } @workingpaper {527256, title = {Structural Change, Fundamentals and Growth: A Framework and Case Studies}, year = {2017}, note = { NBER Working Paper, May 2017 }, abstract = { Developing countries made considerable gains during the first decade of the 21st century. Their economies grew at unprecedented rates, resulting in large reductions in extreme poverty and a significant expansion of the middle class. But more recently that progress has slowed with an economic environment of lackluster global trade, not enough jobs coupled with skills mismatches, continued globalization and technological change, greater income inequality, unprecedented population aging in richer countries, and youth bulges in the poorer ones. This essay examines how seven key countries fared from 1990-2010 in their development quest. The sample includes seven developing countries{\textemdash}Botswana, Ghana, Nigeria, Zambia, India, Vietnam and Brazil {\textemdash}all of which experienced rapid growth in recent years, but for different reasons. The patterns of growth are analyzed in each of these countries using a unifying framework which draws a distinction between the {\textquotedblleft}structural transformation{\textquotedblright} and {\textquotedblleft}fundamentals{\textquotedblright} challenge in growth. Out of these seven countries, the traditional path to rapid growth of export oriented industrialization only played a significant role in Vietnam. }, author = {Margaret McMillan and Dani Rodrik and Claudia Sepulveda} } @book {521906, title = {Structural Change, Fundamentals, and Growth: A Framework and Case Studies}, year = {2017}, publisher = {International Food Policy Research Institute}, organization = {International Food Policy Research Institute}, address = {Washington, DC}, url = {http://drodrik.scholar.harvard.edu/files/dani-rodrik/files/structural_change_fundamentals_and_growth.pdf}, editor = {Dani Rodrik and Margaret McMillan and Claudia Sepulveda} } @magazinearticle {501916, title = {Balance of Trade}, journal = {Harvard Kennedy School Magazine}, year = {2017}, note = {Winter 2017} } @workingpaper {489526, title = {Is Global Equality the Enemy of National Equality?}, year = {2017}, note = {January 2017}, abstract = {The bulk of global inequality is accounted for by income differences across countries rather than within countries. Expanding trade with China has aggravated inequality in some advanced economies, while ameliorating global inequality. But the {\textquotedblleft}China shock{\textquotedblright} is receding and other low-income countries are unlikely to replicate China{\textquoteright}s export-oriented industrialization experience. Relaxing restrictions on cross-border labor mobility might have an even stronger positive effect on global inequality. However it also raises a similar tension. While there would likely be adverse effects on low-skill workers in the advanced economies, international labor mobility has some advantages compared to further liberalizing international trade in goods. I argue that none of the contending perspectives -- national-egalitarian, cosmopolitan, utilitarian -- provides on its own an adequate frame for evaluating the consequences.} } @article {269321, title = {An African Growth Miracle?}, journal = {Journal of African Economies Advance Access}, year = {2016}, note = {Revised version of the paper written for the Center for Global Development, Richard H. Sabot Lecture, on April 24, 2014.}, month = {9 Dec 2016}, abstract = {SSA has grown rapidly over the last decade, but a curious feature of this growth was that it was accompanied by little structural change towards non-traditional tradables (such as manufactures). Now that China, the advanced economies, and most emerging markets are all slowing down, the question whether Africa{\textquoteright}s high growth can be sustained looms larger. This article looks at this question from the lens of modern growth theory, paying particular attention to structural issues that are crucial for low-income countries. It comes down on the pessimistic side, due to what appear to be poor prospects for industrialization. This article also considers alternative models of growth, based on services instead of manufactures.} } @newspaperarticle {454001, title = {Put Globalization to Work for Democracies}, journal = {The New York Times}, year = {2016}, note = { September 17, 2016. Publisher{\textquoteright}s Version }, month = {17 Sep 2016} } @webarticle {427636, title = {Dani Rodrik and Mr. Trump}, journal = {Economic Principals}, year = {2016}, note = { July 24, 2016 }, url = {http://www.economicprincipals.com/issues/2016.07.24/1905.html} } @magazinearticle {402706, title = {Rebel with a Cause}, journal = {Finance \& Development, IMF}, year = {2016}, note = {Publisher{\textquoteright}s Version}, month = {June 2016} } @audiovisual {402716, title = {Will the World Economy Ever Boom Again?}, year = {2016}, note = { May 12, 2016 }, url = {http://player.cdn01.rambla.be/?account_id=w27yAz\&item_id=Ap3Obr} } @article {395391, title = {The Elusive Promise of Structural Reform: The Trillion-Euro Misunderstanding}, journal = {Milken Institute Review}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, year = {2016}, pages = {26-35} } @newspaperarticle {402726, title = {Here{\textquoteright}s why economists should be more humble, even when they have great ideas}, journal = {The Washington Post}, year = {2016}, note = {March 25, 2016}, month = {March 25, 2016}, url = {https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/03/25/economics-is-more-a-craft-than-a-science-economists-are-only-beginning-to-figure-that-out/} } @article {379046, title = {Is Liberal Democracy Feasible in Developing Countries?}, journal = {Studies in Comparative International Development}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Liberal democracy has been difficult to institute and sustain in developing countries. This has to do both with ideational factors{\textemdash}the absence of a liberal tradition prior to electoral mobilization{\textemdash}and structural conditions{\textemdash}the prevalence of mass mobilization along identity rather than class cleavages. This paper considers the conditions under which liberal democracy emerges and speculates about its future in developing countries.} } @report {402721, title = {Work and Human Development in a Deindustrializing World}, year = {2015}, note = {UNDP Human Development Report Office, 2015}, url = {http://drodrik.scholar.harvard.edu/files/dani-rodrik/files/work_and_human_development_in_a_deindustrializing_world.pdf?m=1458658569} } @article {269311, title = {Premature Deindustrialization}, journal = {Journal of Economic Growth}, volume = {21}, year = {2015}, month = {27 Nov, 2015}, pages = {1-33}, abstract = {I document a significant deindustrialization trend in recent decades that goes considerably beyond the advanced, post-industrial economies. The hump-shaped relationship between industrialization (measured by employment or output shares) and incomes has shifted downwards and moved closer to the origin. This means countries are running out of industrialization opportunities sooner and at much lower levels of income compared to the experience of early industrializers. Asian countries and manufactures exporters have been largely insulated from those trends, while Latin American countries have been especially hard hit. Advanced economies have lost considerable employment (especially of the low-skill type), but they have done surprisingly well in terms of manufacturing output shares at constant prices. While these trends are not very recent, the evidence suggests both globalization and labor-saving technological progress in manufacturing have been behind these developments. The paper briefly considers some of the economic and political implications of these trends.} } @webarticle {343206, title = {An Economist Turns Sleuth}, journal = {The Chronicle of Higher Education}, year = {2015}, note = {The Chronicle of Higher Education{\textquoteright}s Feature on Dani Rodrik, Pinar Dogan, and the Sledgehammer Case. October 16, 2015. Publisher{\textquoteright}s Version} } @audiovisual {365571, title = {Economics Rules: The Rights and Wrongs of the Dismal Science}, year = {2015}, note = {Video presentation at LSE, October 7, 2015}, url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be\&t=29m\&v=Yxbcb7hxZP0\&app=desktop} } @audiovisual {402711, title = {Dani Rodrik at Conversations with Tyler}, year = {2015}, note = {September 24, 2015}, url = {https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M17H2dZixEI\&feature=youtu.be} } @book {268231, title = {Economics Rules: The Rights and Wrongs of The Dismal Science}, year = {2015}, publisher = {W.W. Norton}, organization = {W.W. Norton}, address = {New York}, abstract = {A leading economist trains a lens on his own discipline to uncover when it fails and when it works.In the wake of the financial crisis and the Great Recession, economic science seems anything but. In this sharp, masterfully argued book, Dani Rodrik, a leading critic from within the science, renders a surprisingly upbeat judgment on economics. Sifting through the failings of the discipline, he homes in on its greatest strength: its many{\textemdash}and often contradictory{\textemdash}explanatory frameworks.Drawing on the history of the field and his deep experience as a practitioner, Rodrik insists that economic activity defies universal laws. But when economists embrace their expertise as a set of tools, not as a grand unified theory, they can improve the world. From successful antipoverty programs in Mexico to growth strategies in Africa and intelligent remedies for domestic inequality, Rodrik highlights the profound positive influence of economics properly applied.At once a forceful critique and a defense of the discipline, Economics Rules charts a path toward a more humble but more effective science.}, url = {https://wwnorton.com/books/9780393353419} } @webarticle {277771, title = {Austerity Has Failed: An Open Letter From Thomas Piketty to Angela Merkel}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Five leading economists warn the German chancellor, {\textquotedblleft}History will remember you for your actions this week.{\textquotedblright}By Thomas Piketty, Jeffrey Sachs, Heiner Flassbeck, Dani Rodrik and Simon Wren-Lewis}, url = {http://www.thenation.com/article/austerity-has-failed-an-open-letter-from-thomas-piketty-to-angela-merkel/} } @conference {269316, title = {Globalization, Structural Change, and Productivity Growth, with an Update on Africa}, booktitle = {World Development}, volume = {63}, year = {2014}, pages = {11-32}, abstract = {Large gaps in labor productivity between the traditional and modern parts of the economy are a fundamental reality of developing societies. In this paper, we document these gaps, and emphasize that labor flows from low-productivity activities to high-productivity activities are a key driver of development. Our results show that since 1990 structural change has been growth reducing {\textendash} with labor moving from low {\textendash} to high- productivity sectors {\textendash} in both Africa and Latin America, with the most striking changes taking place in Latin America. Our results also show that things seem to be turning around in Africa: after 2000, structural change contributed positively to Africa{\textquoteright}s overall productivity growth. For Africa, these results are encouraging. Moreover, the very low levels of productivity and industrialization across most of the continent indicate an enormous potential for growth through structural change.}, author = {Margaret McMillan and Dani Rodrik and {\'I}{\~n}igo Verduzco-Gallo} } @article {269336, title = {Green Industrial Policy}, journal = {Oxford Review of Economic Policy}, volume = {30}, number = {3}, year = {2014}, pages = {469-491}, edition = {3}, abstract = {Green growth requires green technologies: production techniques that economize on exhaustible resources and emit fewer greenhouse gases. The availability of green technologies both lowers social costs in the transition to a green growth path and helps achieve a satisfactory rate of material progress under that path. The theoretical case in favour of using industrial policy to facilitate green growth is quite strong. Economists{\textquoteright} traditional scepticism on industrial policy is grounded instead on pragmatic considerations having to do with the difficulty of achieving well-targeted and effective interventions in practice. While these objections deserve serious attention, I argue that they are not insurmountable. A key objective of this paper is to show how the practice of industrial policy can be improved by designing institutional frameworks that counter both informational and political risks.} } @book {269241, title = {Towards a Better Global Economy: Policy Implications for Citizens Worldwide in the 21st Century}, year = {2014}, pages = {496}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, organization = {Oxford University Press}, abstract = {Substantial progress in the fight against extreme poverty was made in the last two decades. But the slowdown in global economic growth and significant increases in income inequality in many developed and developing countries raise serious concerns about the continuation of this trend into the 21st century. The time has come to seriously think about how improvements in official global governance, coupled with and reinforced by rising activism of {\textquoteright}global citizens{\textquoteright} can lead to welfare-enhancing and more equitable results for global citizens through better national and international policies. This book examines the factors that are most likely to facilitate the process of beneficial economic growth in low-, middle-, and high-income countries. It examines past, present, and future economic growth; demographic changes; the hyperglobalization of trade; the effect of finance on growth; climate change and resource depletion; and the sense of global citizenship and the need for global governance in order to draw longer-term implications, identify policy options for improving the lives of average citizens around the world, and make the case for the need to confront new challenges with truly global policy responses. The book documents how demographic changes, convergence, and competition are likely to bring about massive shifts in the sectoral and geographical composition of global output and employment, as the center of gravity of the global economy moves toward Asia and emerging economies elsewhere. It shows that the legacies of the 2008-09 crisis-high unemployment levels, massive excess capacities, and high debt levels-are likely to reduce the standard of living of millions of people in many countries over a long period of adjustment and that fluctuations in international trade, financial markets, and commodity prices, as well as the tendency of institutions at both the national and international level to favor the interests of the better-off and more powerful pose substantial risks for citizens of all countries. The chapters and their policy implications are intended to stimulate public interest and facilitate the exchange of ideas and policy dialogue.}, url = {https://global.oup.com/academic/product/towards-a-better-global-economy-9780198723455?cc=us\&lang=en\&$\#$}, author = {Franklin Allen and Jere R. Behrman and Nancy Birdsall and Shahrokh Fardoust and Dani Rodrik and Andrew Steer and Arvind Subramanian} } @article {269326, title = {When Ideas Trump Interests: Preferences, World Views, and Policy Innovations}, journal = {The Journal of Economic Perspectives}, volume = {28}, number = {1}, year = {2014}, note = {Winter 2014. An earlier draft was titled {\textquotedblleft}Ideas and Interests in Political Economy.{\textquotedblright}}, pages = {189{\textendash}208}, abstract = {Ideas are strangely absent from modern models of political economy. In most prevailing theories of policy choice, the dominant role is instead played by "vested interests"{\textemdash}elites, lobbies, and rent-seeking groups which get their way at the expense of the general public. Any model of political economy in which organized interests do not figure prominently is likely to remain vacuous and incomplete. But it does not follow from this that interests are the ultimate determinant of political outcomes. Here I will challenge the notion that there is a well-defined mapping from "interests" to outcomes. This mapping depends on many unstated assumptions about the ideas that political agents have about: 1) what they are maximizing, 2) how the world works, and 3) the set of tools they have at their disposal to further their interests. Importantly, these ideas are subject to both manipulation and innovation, making them part of the political game. There is, in fact, a direct parallel, as I will show, between inventive activity in technology, which economists now routinely make endogenous in their models, and investment in persuasion and policy innovation in the political arena. I focus specifically on models professing to explain economic inefficiency and argue that outcomes in such models are determined as much by the ideas that elites are presumed to have on feasible strategies as by vested interests themselves. A corollary is that new ideas about policy{\textemdash}or policy entrepreneurship{\textemdash}can exert an independent effect on equilibrium outcomes even in the absence of changes in the configuration of political power. I conclude by discussing the sources of new ideas.} } @book {269251, title = {Yarg{\i}, Cemaat ve Bir Darbe Kurgusunun {\.I}{\c c} Y{\"u}z{\"u}}, year = {2014}, publisher = {Destek Yayinevi}, organization = {Destek Yayinevi}, address = {Istanbul}, abstract = {Written jointly with Pinar Dogan, this is an update of our 2010 book (see below) on the infamous Sledgehammer case in Turkey. In addition to the Sledgehammer trial, the book covers the Ergenekon and other court cases that were stage managed by the Gulen network, in cooperation with the Erdogan government. It provides detailed evidence on the framing of innocent victims by police and prosecutors in an evident attempt to politically redesign the country. It also examines the role of the media and intelligentsia in shaping public opinion over the trials.}, url = {http://www.idefix.com/kitap/yargi-cemaat-ve-bir-darbe-kurgusunun-ic-yuzu-pinar-dogan/tanim.asp?sid=YDHIKFC8NC4C3FZL5T03}, author = {P{\i}nar Do{\u g}an and Dani Rodrik} } @workingpaper {269341, title = {Structural Change, Fundamentals, and Growth: An Overview}, year = {2013}, note = {A paper that introduces a series of World Bank country studies on structural change.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269331, title = {The Globalization Paradox: A response to Rosa Lastra and Robert Howse}, journal = {International Journal of Constitutional Law}, volume = {11}, number = {3}, year = {2013}, pages = {816-817}, edition = {No. 3} } @workingpaper {269346, title = {The Past, Present, and Future of Economic Growth}, year = {2013}, note = {Global Citizen Foundation Working Paper.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269351, title = {Unconditional Convergence in Manufacturing}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics}, volume = {128}, number = {1}, year = {2013}, note = {This is a substantially revised version of {\textquotedblleft}Unconditional Convergence{\textquotedblright} below.}, pages = {165-204}, abstract = {Unlike economies as a whole, manufacturing industries exhibit strong unconditional convergence in labor productivity. The article documents this at various levels of disaggregation for a large sample covering more than 100 countries over recent decades. The result is highly robust to changes in the sample and specification. The coefficient of unconditional convergence is estimated quite precisely and is large, at between 2{\textendash}3\% in most specifications and 2.9\% a year in the baseline specification covering 118 countries. The article also finds substantial sigma convergence at the two-digit level for a smaller sample of countries. Despite strong convergence within manufacturing, aggregate convergence fails due to the small share of manufacturing employment in low-income countries and the slow pace of industrialization. Because of data coverage, these findings should be as viewed as applying to the organized, formal parts of manufacturing.} } @article {269366, title = {Who Needs the Nation State?}, journal = {Economic Geography}, volume = {89}, number = {1}, year = {2013}, note = {Actually, we all do.(Roepke Lecture), May 2012. }, pages = {1-19}, abstract = {The nation-state has long been under attack from liberal economists and cosmopolitan ethicists alike. But it has proved remarkably resilient and remains the principal locus of governance as well as the primary determinant of personal attachments and identity. The global financial crisis has further under- scored its centrality. Against the background of the globalization revolution, the tendency is to view the nation-state as a hindrance to the achievement of desirable economic and social outcomes. Yet it remains indispensable to the achievement of those goals.} } @proceedings {269361, title = {After the Fall: The Future of Global Cooperation}, journal = {Geneva Reports on the World Economy}, volume = {14}, year = {2012}, note = {Don{\textquoteright}t count on global governance.}, publisher = {International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies (ICMB); Centre for Economic Policy Research}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Jeffry Frieden and Michael Pettis and Dani Rodrik and Ernesto Zedillo} } @article {269371, title = {Why We Learn Nothing from Regressing Economic Growth on Policies}, journal = {Seoul Journal of Economics}, year = {2012}, note = { A short paper on the (mis)use of growth regressions.}, abstract = {Government use policy to achieve certain outcomes. Sometimes the desired ends are worthwhile, and sometimes they are pernicious. Cross-country regressions have been the tool of choice in assessing the effectiveness of policies and the empirical relevance of these two diametrically opposite views of government behavior. When government policy responds systematically to economic or political objectives, the standard growth regression in which economic growth (or any other performance indicator) is regressed on policy tells us nothing about the effectiveness of policy and whether government motives are good or bad.} } @inbook {278506, title = {Do We Need to Rethink Growth Policies?}, booktitle = {In the Wake of the Crisis: Leading Economists Reassess Economic Policy}, year = {2012}, pages = {157-167}, publisher = {The MIT Press}, organization = {The MIT Press}, address = {Cambridge}, author = {Dani Rodrik}, editor = {Olivier Blanchard and David Romer and Michael Spence and Joseph Stiglitz} } @article {269386, title = {The Turkish Economy After the Crisis}, journal = {Ekonomi-tek}, volume = {1}, number = {1}, year = {2012}, note = {Some changes in fiscal and exchange-rate policies are called for.}, pages = {41-61}, abstract = {\ The global financial crisis has demonstrated that a financially open economy has many areas of vulnerability. Even when a country keeps its own house in order, it remains at the mercy of developments in external financial markets. So, one lesson to bear in mind is that policymakers need to guard against not just domestic shocks, but also shocks that emanate outward from financial instability elsewhere. To accomplish this, complete financial openness is not the best policy. A second lesson is that Turkey{\textquoteright}s prevailing growth strategy can neither be sustained nor generate enough employment. Therefore, it would be a mistake for the country to return to the status quo ante and resuscitate a model that fails to make adequate use of domestic resources. Most importantly, Turkey has to learn to live with a reduced reliance on external borrowing. The paper discusses the needed realignments in fiscal and exchange-rate policies.} } @article {269381, title = {Globalization Dilemmas and the Way Out}, journal = {The Indian Journal of Industrial Relations}, volume = {47}, number = {3}, year = {2012}, pages = {393-404}, abstract = {The objective of international economic arrangements must be to attain the maximum amount of integration or the maximum thickness in economic transactions that are consistent with maintaining space for diversity in national institutions and the arrangements. The objective would be to create enough policy space to allow rich countries to rework their social compacts at home, poor countries to restructure and diversify their economies so that they can position themselves better to benefit from globalisation, and all nations, rich and poor alike, to establish financial systems and regulatory structures that are more attuned to their own needs. A better managed globalisation will be a better globalisation, argues the paper.} } @article {269391, title = {Unconditional Convergence}, journal = {NBER Working Paper Series}, year = {2011}, note = {Revised October 2011. Yes, it does exist, but you have to look for it in manufacturing industries.}, abstract = {Unlike economies as a whole, manufacturing industries exhibit unconditional convergence in labor productivity.\  The paper documents this finding for 4-digit manufacturing sectors for a large group of developed and developing countries over the period since 1990.\  The coefficient of unconditional convergence is estimated quite precisely and is large, at 3.0-5.6 percent per year depending on the estimation horizon.\  The result is robust to a large number of specification tests, and statistically highly significant. Because of data coverage, these findings should be as viewed as applying to the organized, formal parts of manufacturing.} } @conference {269471, title = {Comments on "New Structural Economics" by Justin Yifu Lin}, booktitle = {World Bank Research Observer}, year = {2011}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269396, title = {The Future of Economic Convergence}, year = {2011}, note = {Do not expect miracles.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269466, title = {Globalization, Structural Change, and Productivity Growth}, year = {2011}, note = {In some countries structural change enhances economy-wide productivity, in others it reduces it.\  Why?\ Dataset and Employment VA data.\  Published as Chapter 2 of "Making Globalization Socially Sustainable."}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Margaret McMillan} } @book {269256, title = {The Globalization Paradox: Democracy and the Future of the World Economy}, year = {2011}, pages = {368}, publisher = {W.W. Norton}, organization = {W.W. Norton}, address = {New York and London}, abstract = {Surveying three centuries of economic history, a Harvard professor argues for a leaner global system that puts national democracies front and center.\  From the mercantile monopolies of seventeenth-century empires to the modern-day authority of the WTO, IMF, and World Bank, the nations of the world have struggled to effectively harness globalization{\textquoteright}s promise. The economic narratives that underpinned these eras{\textemdash}the gold standard, the Bretton Woods regime, the "Washington Consensus"{\textemdash}brought great success and great failure. In this eloquent challenge to the reigning wisdom on globalization, Dani Rodrik offers a new narrative, one that embraces an ineluctable tension: we cannot simultaneously pursue democracy, national self-determination, and economic globalization. When the social arrangements of democracies inevitably clash with the international demands of globalization, national priorities should take precedence. Combining history with insight, humor with good-natured critique, Rodrik{\textquoteright}s case for a customizable globalization supported by a light frame of international rules shows the way to a balanced prosperity as we confront today{\textquoteright}s global challenges in trade, finance, and labor markets.}, url = {http://books.wwnorton.com/books/The-Globalization-Paradox/} } @book {269261, title = {Balyoz : Bir Darbe Kurgusunun Belgeleri ve Ger{\c c}ekler}, year = {2010}, publisher = {Destek Yayinevi}, organization = {Destek Yayinevi}, address = {Istanbul}, abstract = {Written in Turkish with my wife Pinar Dogan, this book covers the most important political trial in Turkey in at least five decades, which opened in December 2010. It is based on our blog on the topic. Balyoz is a legal and political expos{\'e}. It details a brazen effort to frame more than 300 officers for crimes they have not committed. It documents the roles that groups within the judiciary, police, media, intelligentsia, the national science and technological institute, and (last but not least), the AKP government have played in creating what can best be called an {\textquotedblleft}alternative reality.{\textquotedblright} (Balyoz means {\textquotedblleft}sledgehammer{\textquotedblright} in Turkish; it refers to the code name of the fictional coup plot on which the book is based.) This is a book I never thought I would (have to) write.}, url = {https://www.dr.com.tr/kitap/balyoz-bir-darbe-kurgusunun-belgeleri-ve-gercekleri/arastirma-tarih/politikaarastirma/turkiye-politika/urunno=0000000351413} } @book {269266, title = {Handbook of Development Economics}, year = {2010}, publisher = {North-Holland}, organization = {North-Holland}, edition = {Volume 5}, address = {Amsterdam}, abstract = {This is the new edition of the Handbook of Development Economics. Compared to previous versions, it focuses more on policy questions. The Handbooks in Economics series continues to provide the various branches of economics with handbooks which are definitive reference sources, suitable for use by professional researchers, advanced graduate students, or by those seeking a teaching supplement.With contributions from leading researchers, each Handbook presents an accurate, self-contained survey of the current state of the topic under examination. These surveys summarize the most recent discussions in journals, and elucidate new developments.Although original material is also included, the main aim of this series is the provision of comprehensive and accessible surveys.The Handbooks are indispensable reference works which belong in every professional collection, and form ideal supplementary reading for graduate economics students on advanced courses.}, url = {http://www.elsevier.com/books/handbook-of-development-economics/rodrick/978-0-444-52944-2}, editor = {Dani Rodrik and Mark R. Rosenzweig} } @conference {269481, title = {Making Room for China in the World Economy}, booktitle = {American Economic Review: Papers \& Proceedings}, year = {2010}, note = {Revaluation of the Chinese currency is not the simple solution to global macroeconomic imbalances that many think. } } @conference {269491, title = {Diagnostics before Prescription}, booktitle = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Summer 2010.} } @article {269496, title = {Development Policy and Development Economics: An Introduction}, year = {2009}, note = {The introduction to the next volume of the Handbook of Development Economics.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Mark Rosenzweig} } @article {269501, title = {Growth after the Crisis}, year = {2009}, note = {Yes, there will be some.} } @article {269576, title = {Why Did Financial Globalization Disappoint?}, year = {2009}, note = {It has a lot to do with the exchange-rate consequences of capital inflows.\ Published as an IMF Staff Paper.}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Arvind Subramanian} } @conference {269506, title = {The Disappointments of Financial Globalization}, booktitle = {Bank of Thailand International Symposium}, year = {2008}, month = {2008} } @article {269516, title = {The New Development Economics: We Shall Experiment, But How Shall We Learn?}, year = {2008}, note = {Revised, October 2008.There is a lot more convergence between macro- and micro-development economists than meets the eye.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269521, title = {The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth}, year = {2008}, note = {Undervaluation is good for growth, but why?\  Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall 2008. }, abstract = {\ } } @conference {269526, title = {Understanding South Africa{\textquoteright}s Economic Puzzles}, booktitle = {Economics of Transition}, year = {2008}, note = {Why is unemployment so high and growth so low in South Africa? Because of neglect of non-resource tradables. }, abstract = {\ } } @conference {269546, title = {Industrial Policy: Don{\textquoteright}t Ask Why, Ask How}, booktitle = {Middle East Development Journal}, year = {2008}, abstract = {\ } } @conference {269556, title = {Thinking about Governance}, year = {2008}, publisher = {The World Bank in Governance, Growth, and Development Decision-making}, organization = {The World Bank in Governance, Growth, and Development Decision-making} } @article {269586, title = {Normalizing Industrial Policy}, year = {2008}, note = {The practical problems confronting industrial policy are no different from those in, say, education policy or macroeconomic policy. Commission on Growth and Development Working Paper No. 3, 2008.}, abstract = {\ } } @book {269286, title = {Nations et mondialisation: Les strat{\'e}gies nationales de d{\'e}veloppement dans un monde globalise}, year = {2008}, publisher = {Editions la D{\'e}couverte}, organization = {Editions la D{\'e}couverte}, address = {Paris, France}, abstract = {Pr{\`e}s de vingt ans apr{\`e}s la mise en {\oe}uvre du {\guillemotleft} consensus de Washington {\guillemotright} (1990), quel bilan peut-on tirer de la {\guillemotleft} bonne gouvernance {\guillemotright} que les grandes institutions {\'e}co-nomiques internationales ont tent{\'e} d{\textquoteright}imposer aux pays du Sud ? Et quels enseigne-ments sur la mondialisation se d{\'e}gagent des trajectoires contrast{\'e}es qu{\textquoteright}affichent les continents en d{\'e}veloppement ? Contre toute attente, les pays qui ont le plus b{\'e}n{\'e}fici{\'e} de la globalisation sont ceux qui, comme la Chine, l{\textquoteright}Inde ou le Vietnam, ont le moins respect{\'e} ses r{\`e}gles. En comparaison, l{\textquoteright}Am{\'e}rique latine, qui s{\textquoteright}{\'e}tait conform{\'e}e aux principes de l{\textquoteright}orthodoxie {\'e}conomique, n{\textquoteright}a enregistr{\'e} que de mauvais r{\'e}sultats. Ce n{\textquoteright}est donc pas la lib{\'e}ralisation en soi qui permet le succ{\`e}s {\'e}conomique, mais les stra-t{\'e}gies pragmatiques adopt{\'e}es par les gouvernements, tenant compte des mutations in-dispensables mais aussi des caract{\'e}ristiques nationales. En rapprochant les {\'e}volutions r{\'e}elles des th{\'e}ories dominantes sur la croissance et le d{\'e}veloppement, Dani Rodrik insiste sur la n{\'e}cessit{\'e} de faire rapidement {\'e}voluer les paradigmes de la mondialisation. Selon lui, il ne s{\textquoteright}agit plus de lib{\'e}raliser davantage, mais de cr{\'e}er dans chaque pays l{\textquoteright}espace politique permettant de traiter les probl{\`e}mes que pose l{\textquoteright}ouverture. Ce premier ouvrage traduit en fran{\c c}ais de cet {\'e}conomiste {\`a} la renomm{\'e}e internationale r{\'e}unit quatre essais (dont deux {\'e}tudes de cas, Inde et Am{\'e}ri-que latine), indispensables pour comprendre l{\textquoteright}articulation entre d{\'e}veloppement et mondialisation.}, url = {http://www.editionsladecouverte.fr/catalogue/index-Nations_et_mondialisation-9782707155979.html} } @book {269271, title = {One Economics, Many Recipes: Globalization, Institutions, and Economic Growth}, year = {2008}, pages = {280}, publisher = {Princeton University Press}, organization = {Princeton University Press}, address = {Princeton, NJ}, abstract = {Poor countries become rich not by following in suit of their predecessors but rather by overcoming their own highly specific constraints.\  While economic globalization can be a boon for countries that are trying to dig themselves out of poverty, success usually requires following policies that are tailored to local economic and political realities rather than obeying the dictates of the international globalization establishment.\ One Economics, Many Recipes\ shows how successful countries craft their own unique growth strategies and what other countries can learn from them. -\ Princeton University Press}, url = {http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8494.html} } @conference {269581, title = {Second-best Institutions}, booktitle = {American Economic Review: Papers \& Proceedings}, year = {2008}, note = {If you think best-practice is the way to go in institutional reform, think again. } } @article {269571, title = {Reconfiguring Industrial Policy: A Framework with an Application to South Africa}, year = {2007}, note = {How to improve the practice of industrial policy in South Africa.}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Hausmann, Ricardo and Chuck Sabel} } @article {269591, title = {How to Save Globalization from its Cheerleaders}, year = {2007}, note = {If you like globalization and want to maintain it, don{\textquoteright}t push market liberalization too far.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269616, title = {Industrial Development: Stylized Facts and Policies Revised}, year = {2006}, note = {Industrial development requires trade and exchange rate policies that are specifically geared to that purpose.} } @article {269601, title = {Doomed to Choose: Industrial Policy as Predicament}, year = {2006}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Hausmann, Ricardo} } @article {269641, title = {What You Export Matters}, year = {2006}, note = {Revised, June 2006.\ Data\ and\ data description.}, abstract = {}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Hausmann, Ricardo and Jason Hwang} } @article {269621, title = {Goodbye Washington Consensus, Hello Washington Confusion?}, year = {2006}, note = {The Washington Consensus is dead. What will take its place?}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269626, title = {What{\textquoteright}s So Special About China{\textquoteright}s Exports?}, year = {2006}, note = {China is exporting stuff that is way too sophisticated for its level of income, and that explains part of its success.} } @article {269631, title = {The Social Cost of Foreign Exchange Reserves}, year = {2005}, note = {December 2005. Developing countries are paying a high (and preventable) cost for self-insurance against capital-market follies. Revised version published in the International Economic Journal, September 2006.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269671, title = {Growth Accelerations}, year = {2005}, note = {There are many more of them than is commonly thought; this is an attempt to understand what determines their occurrence.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Hausmann, Ricardo and Pritchett, Lant} } @article {269656, title = {Growth Diagnostics}, year = {2005}, note = {Revised, March 2005. The trick is to identify the binding constraint to economic growth. This paper shows why and how.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Hausmann, Ricardo and Andres Velasco} } @article {269646, title = {Do Democratic Transitions Produce Bad Economic Outcomes?}, year = {2005}, note = {The short answer is: no.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Romain Wacziarg} } @article {269696, title = {On the Efficacy of Reforms: Policy Tinkering, Institutional Change, and Entrepreneurship}, year = {2004}, note = {Revised October 2004. When policy tinkering beats structural reform, and vice versa.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Murat Lyigun} } @article {269701, title = {Growth Strategies}, year = {2004}, note = {A paper for the Handbook of Economic Growth, revised October 2004.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269651, title = {Rethinking Economic Growth in Developing Countries}, year = {2004}, note = {October 2004. The Luca d{\textquoteright}Agliano Lecture for 2004.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269661, title = {Industrial Policy for the Twenty-First Century}, year = {2004}, note = {Just when you thought it was dead...}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269666, title = {Rule of Law, Democracy, Openness and Income: Estimating the Interrelationships}, year = {2004}, note = {A new attempt to identify the causal relationships among institutions, income, openness, and geography.}, author = {Dani Rodrik and Roberto Rigobon} } @article {269681, title = {Getting Institutions Right}, year = {2004}, note = {A user{\textquoteright}s guide to the recent literature on institutions and growth.} } @article {269686, title = {From Hindu Growth to Productivity Surge: The Mystery of the Indian Growth Transition}, year = {2004}, note = {No, it had nothing to do with IT and outsourcing.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Arvind Subramanian} } @article {269691, title = {Discovering El Salvador{\textquoteright}s Production Potential}, year = {2003}, note = { Part of a report on El Salvador{\textquoteright}s economic strategy, and an attempt to operationalize ideas in the other papers on this site.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Hausmann, Ricardo} } @article {269751, title = {Economic Development as Self-Discovery}, year = {2003}, note = {Revised April 2003. New-age economics meets the Washington Consensus.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Hausmann, Ricardo} } @book {269291, title = {In Search of Prosperity: Analytic Narratives on Economic Growth}, year = {2003}, note = {Edited and with an introduction by Dani Rodrik.}, pages = {496}, publisher = {Princeton University Press}, organization = {Princeton University Press}, abstract = {The economics of growth has come a long way since it regained center stage for economists in the mid-1980s. Here for the first time is a series of country studies guided by that research. The thirteen essays, by leading economists, shed light on some of the most important growth puzzles of our time. How did China grow so rapidly despite the absence of full-fledged private property rights? What happened in India after the early 1980s to more than double its growth rate? How did Botswana and Mauritius avoid the problems that other countries in Sub-Saharan Africa succumbed to? How did Indonesia manage to grow over three decades despite weak institutions and distorted microeconomic policies and why did it suffer such a collapse after 1997? What emerges from this collective effort is a deeper understanding of the centrality of institutions. Economies that have performed well over the long term owe their success not to geography or trade, but to institutions that have generated market-oriented incentives, protected property rights, and enabled stability. However, these narratives warn against a cookie-cutter approach to institution building. The contributors are Daron Acemoglu, Maite Careaga, Gregory Clark, J. Bradford DeLong, William Easterly, Ricardo Hausmann, Simon Johnson, Daniel Kaufmann, Massimo Mastruzzi, Ian W. McLean, Georges de Menil, Lant Pritchett, Yingyi Qian, James A. Robinson, Devesh Roy, Arvind Subramanian, Alan M. Taylor, Jonathan Temple, Barry R. Weingast, Susan Wolcott, and Diego Zavaleta.}, url = {http://www.pupress.princeton.edu/titles/7518.html} } @article {269706, title = {Institutions Rule: The Primacy of Institutions over Geography and Integration in Economic Development}, year = {2002}, note = {Revised October 2002.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Arvind Subramanian and Francesco Trebbi} } @article {269726, title = {Feasible Globalizations}, year = {2002}, note = {There are limits to how far we can push deep integration, but luckily much more economic benefit can be squeezed out of globalization by designing the rules appropriately.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269731, title = {In Search of the Holy Grail: Policy Convergence, Experimentation, and Economic Performance}, year = {2002}, note = {Revised July 2002. A paper on the theory and empirics of policy choice in a world where institutions are context-specific. Publication version is here, with the appendix.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Sharun Mukand} } @article {269721, title = {When Economic Reform Goes Wrong: Cashews in Mozambique}, year = {2002}, note = {An analysis of the case that became a microcosm of the globalization debate.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Margaret McMillan and Karen Horn Welch} } @article {269756, title = {Why Are Some People (and Countries) More Protectionist Than Others?}, year = {2002}, note = {Revised version, January 2002. Contains new results. Stolper-Samuelson does really well.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Anna Maria Mayda} } @article {269766, title = {Institutions, Integration, and Geography: In Search of the Deep Determinants of Economic Growth}, year = {2001}, note = {An introduction to an edited volume of analytic growth narratives.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269761, title = {Comments at a Conference on Immigration and the Welfare State}, year = {2001}, note = {Why is trade in labor services treated so differently than trade in goods or capital?}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269771, title = {The Global Governance of Trade as if Development Really Mattered}, year = {2001}, note = {A paper prepared for the UNDP.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269781, title = {Did the Malaysian Capital Controls Work?}, year = {2001}, note = {Revised February 2001. The answer depends on the counterfactual, but if the relevant alternative was an IMF-style program, they worked very well indeed.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Ethan Kaplan} } @article {269796, title = {Comments on"Estimating the Effects of Currency Unions on Trade and Output,"}, year = {2000}, note = {October 21, 2000 version}, abstract = {\ }, author = {J. Frankel and A. Rose} } @article {269806, title = {Comments on"Trade, Growth, and Poverty,"}, year = {2000}, abstract = {\ }, author = {D. Dollar and A. Kraay} } @article {269851, title = {Exchange Rate Regimes and Institutional Arrangements in the Shadow of Capital Flows}, year = {2000}, note = {A paper for a conference in Malaysia.} } @article {269861, title = {Trade Policy Reform as Institutional Reform}, year = {2000}, note = {Ask not what it does for your exports, but what it does for the quality of your institutions.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269846, title = {Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic{\textquoteright}s Guide to the Cross-National Evidence}, year = {2000}, note = {Newly revised, May 2000. A re-examination of the relationship between trade policy and economic growth and a critical review of the literature. Published in Macroeconomics Annual 2000, eds. Ben Bernanke and Kenneth S. Rogoff, MIT Press for NBER, Cambridge, MA, 2001.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Francisco Rodriguez} } @article {269866, title = {Development Strategies for the Next Century}, year = {2000}, note = {A reiteration and integration of various themes from some of my previous papers.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269871, title = {Institutions for High-Quality Growth: What They Are and How to Acquire Them}, year = {2000}, note = {October 1999. Paper prepared for an IMF conference on Second Generation Reforms.\  Revised version published in Studies in Comparative International Development, Fall 2000.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269856, title = {Participatory Politics, Social Cooperation, and Economic Stability}, year = {1999}, note = {December 1999. A short paper for the American Economic Association meetings in Boston, January 7-9, 2000.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269886, title = {Capital Mobility, Distributive Conflict and International Tax Coordination}, journal = {Journal of International Economics}, volume = {54}, number = {1}, year = {1999}, note = {Revised, October 1999. A formal model on why international tax coordination may be needed to get labor to go along with capital mobility.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Tanguy van Ypersele} } @article {269791, title = {Comments on"Outward-Orientation and Development: Are the Revisionists Right?"}, year = {1999}, note = {(September 1999 version). This is actually the text of a letter sent to the authors (minus some personal remarks), which I have decided to post because I am frequently asked about this paper.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {J. Bhagwati and T.N. Srinivasan} } @article {269881, title = {How Far Will International Economic Integration Go?}, year = {1999}, note = {Revised September 1999. Some wild speculation on the future of the world economy. Published in Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2000.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269876, title = {Why Is There So Much Economic Insecurity in Latin America?}, year = {1999}, note = {August 1999. Revised version in\ CEPAL Review.}, abstract = {} } @article {269891, title = {Short-Term Capital Flows}, journal = {Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics}, year = {1999}, note = {The consequences (and causes) thereof.}, abstract = {\ }, author = {Dani Rodrik and Andres Velasco} } @article {269896, title = {Governing the Global Economy: Does One Architectural Style Fit All?}, year = {1999}, note = {April 1999 (Edited June 1999). How far will the new international financial architecture go, and what will it cost the developing countries?}, abstract = {\ } } @book {269296, title = {Making Openness Work: The New Global Economy and the Developing Countries}, year = {1999}, publisher = {Overseas Development Council}, organization = {Overseas Development Council}, address = {Washington, DC}, abstract = {Policy makers in the developing world are grappling with the new dilemmas created by openness to trade and capital flows. What role, if any, remains for the state in promoting industrialization? Does openness exacerbate inequality, and if so what can be done about it? What is the best way to handle turbulence emanating from the world economy, and the fickleness of international capital flows in particular? This book argues that successful integration in the world economy requires a complementary set of policies and institutions at home. Policy makers have to reinforce their external strategy of liberalization with an internal strategy that gives the state substantial responsibility in fostering the accumulation of physical and human capital and in mediating social conflicts. -\ Excerpted from abstract.} } @article {269906, title = {Democracies Pay Higher Wages}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics, August 1999}, year = {1998}, note = {The title says it all. Revised and expanded version of NBER Working Paper No. 6364. }, abstract = {\ } } @article {269946, title = {Why Do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governments?}, year = {1998}, note = {The revised version of NBER Working Paper No. 5537, published in the Journal of Political Economy, October 1998.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269911, title = {Where Did All The Growth Go? External Shocks, Social Conflict, and Growth Collapses}, journal = {Journal of Economic Growth, December 1999}, year = {1998}, note = {A re-interpretation of recent economic history (revised version of NBER working paper No. 6350).}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269921, title = {Saving Transitions}, year = {1998}, note = {July 1998. On the causes and consequences of rapid increases in saving rates. Published in The World Bank Economic Review, vol. 14, no.3, September 2000.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269926, title = {The Debate Over Globalization: How to Move Forward By Looking Backward}, year = {1998}, note = {May 1998. A paper prepared for a conference on the Future of the World Trading System, IIE, Washington, DC, April 15, 1998.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269936, title = {Capital Mobility and Labor}, year = {1998}, note = {April 1998. Draft paper prepared for the NBER workshop on Trade, Technology, Education, and the U.S. Labor Market, April 30-May 1, 1998.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269931, title = {Who Needs Capital-Account Convertibility?}, year = {1998}, note = {A short paper for a Princeton International Finance Section symposium.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269951, title = {Democracy and Economic Performance}, year = {1997}, note = {A paper for a conference in South Africa.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269956, title = {Globalization, Social Conflict and Economic Growth}, year = {1997}, note = {December 1997. The 1997 Raul Prebisch lecture delivered at UNCTAD (published in The World Economy, March 1998).}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269966, title = {Trade Policy and Economic Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa}, year = {1997}, note = {A study commissioned by the Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269976, title = {What Drives Public Employment?}, year = {1997}, note = {Published in Review of Development Economics, 4(3), October 2000.}, abstract = {\ } } @article {269981, title = {TFPG Controversies, Institutions, and Economic Performance in East Asia}, year = {1997}, abstract = {\ } } @book {269301, title = {Has Globalization Gone Too Far?}, year = {1997}, pages = {128}, publisher = {Institute for International Economics}, organization = {Institute for International Economics}, address = {Washington, DC}, abstract = {"The world economy faces a serious challenge in ensuring that international economic integration does not contribute to domestic social disintegration. The book focuses on the three major sources of tension between globalization and social stability: the transformation of the employment relationship, conflicts between international trade and social norms, and the pressures brought to bear on national governments in maintaining domestic cohesion and social welfare systems." -\ Institute for International Economics \ }, url = {http://bookstore.piie.com/book-store/57.html} }